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欧盟28个成员国2015年老龄化报告经济和预算预测（2013-2060）
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长期预测的人口趋势显示，欧洲在未来几十年里正变得越来越灰暗。要获得关于欧洲未来人口变化挑战的可靠和可比信息，就必须考虑当今人口的年龄结构，以及未来几十年的人口结构。这说明了决策者在未来将不得不面对的经济、预算和社会挑战。长期预测表明，人口老龄化将带来挑战的时间和规模。它们显示了随着婴儿潮一代的退休和平均寿命的持续增加，老龄化压力将在何处、何时以及在多大程度上加速。因此，这些预测有助于突出人口趋势对欧盟国家当前和未来的政策挑战。
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欧盟28个成员国2015年老龄化报告经济和预算预测（2013-2060） MANDATE AND BROAD PRINCIPLES The 2015 long-term budgetary projection exercise： mandate and broad principles. The ECOFIN Council gave a mandate to the Economic Policy Committee （EPC） to produce a new set of long-term budgetary projections by 2015， on the basis of a new population projection by Eurostat（EUROPOP2013）. In light of this mandate， the EPC and the Commission services （Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs - DG ECFIN） agreed on a work programme with broad arrangements to organise the budgetary projections and reach agreement on its assumptions and methodologies. With this release， the long-run economic and budgetary projections aimed at assessing the impact of ageing population have been published five times； the first report being released in 2001. This projection exercise updates and improves methodologically further the previous exercises so as to enhance overall accuracy， comparability across countries， consistency across expenditure items and the economic basis for the underlying assumptions. On the basis of these underlying demographic and macro-economic assumptions and projections， age-related expenditures covering pensions， health care， long-term care， education and unemployment benefits are projected and analysed. The projections feed into a variety of policy debates at EU level， including the overarching Europe 2020 strategy for smart， sustainable and inclusive growth. In particular， they are used in the context of the European Semester so as to identify policy challenges. 【更多详情：请下载：欧盟28个成员国2015年老龄化报告经济和预算预测（2013-2060）】
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